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Category Archives: Football
College Football Playoff – Final Achievement Rankings
We’re less than an hour from the CFB Playoff selection, so I figured I’d release a final version of my system. For an explanation of the system and caveats with it, see this post. We can set the baseline team … Continue reading
Evaluating QBs: Peyton Manning is a Better Playoff Quarterback than Tom Brady
Based on their respective records this might sound crazy. Brady has three rings, five total Super Bowl appearances, and a record 17 playoff victories. Manning on the other hand: a below .500 playoff record, just one Super Bowl ring, and … Continue reading
Evaluating QBs: The Truth Behind QB Records
*UPDATE: I’ve temporarily changed the blog theme so that the tables in this post will be sortable and searchable.* With the tedious boring stuff out of the way (if you missed the boring parts, here is boring part 1 and … Continue reading
Posted in descriptive, Evaluating QBs Series, Football, offense versus defense, player evaluation, talent distribution, team evaluation
Tagged Aaron Rodgers, Alex Smith, Ben Roethlisberger, Colin Kaepernick, Joe Flacco, Joey Harrington, Mark Sanchez, Matt Ryan, Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Trent Dilfer
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Evaluating QBs: It’s All About Context
In part 1 of my Evaluating QBs series, we looked at what makes teams win and which of those things quarterbacks have control over. While wins can be useful to separate quarterbacks, that is only because they are correlated with … Continue reading
Evaluating QBs: Why Not Wins?
Full disclosure: I’m a Peyton Manning fan. If you can’t get past that, stop reading now. Still there? Good, welcome. Following the Broncos recent loss to the Ravens (and the subsequent Patriots loss), there has been a new wave of … Continue reading
An Improved Look at Pre-season Strength of Schedule
As we gear up for another NFL season kicking off in just over a week, there will be lots of discussion of Super Bowl contenders and playoff predictions. Which teams will improve and which will decline. One of the big … Continue reading
Posted in Football, predictive, review, team evaluation
Tagged NFL, Strength of schedule
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The Selection Question Revisited
The Philadelphia Eagles finished the season 8-8, but outscored their opponents by 68 points, the 5th-best mark in the NFC. Seven of their 8 losses were by one score or less, and they finished the season hot on a 4-game … Continue reading
Posted in College Basketball, descriptive, Football, March Madness, team evaluation
Tagged NCAA Tournament, Philadelphia Eagles, S-Curve
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The Colts Decision
As a Colts fan since the Harbaugh days, I remember the last time the Colts had the number 1 pick. The decision then, however, was much different. Indianapolis was definitely drafting and keeping a QB, it was just a matter … Continue reading
Posted in decision making, Football, player evaluation, team evaluation
Tagged Andrew Luck, Bill Polian, Indianapolis Colts, Peyton Manning
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