Category Archives: player evaluation

Evaluating QBs: Peyton Manning is a Better Playoff Quarterback than Tom Brady

Based on their respective records this might sound crazy. Brady has three rings, five total Super Bowl appearances, and a record 17 playoff victories. Manning on the other hand: a below .500 playoff record, just one Super Bowl ring, and … Continue reading

Posted in descriptive, Evaluating QBs Series, Football, offense versus defense, player evaluation, talent distribution, team evaluation | Tagged , | 29 Comments

Evaluating QBs: The Truth Behind QB Records

*UPDATE: I’ve temporarily changed the blog theme so that the tables in this post will be sortable and searchable.* With the tedious boring stuff out of the way (if you missed the boring parts, here is boring part 1 and … Continue reading

Posted in descriptive, Evaluating QBs Series, Football, offense versus defense, player evaluation, talent distribution, team evaluation | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Evaluating QBs: It’s All About Context

In part 1 of my Evaluating QBs series, we looked at what makes teams win and which of those things quarterbacks have control over. While wins can be useful to separate quarterbacks, that is only because they are correlated with … Continue reading

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Evaluating QBs: Why Not Wins?

Full disclosure: I’m a Peyton Manning fan. If you can’t get past that, stop reading now. Still there? Good, welcome. Following the Broncos recent loss to the Ravens (and the subsequent Patriots loss), there has been a new wave of … Continue reading

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The Colts Decision

As a Colts fan since the Harbaugh days, I remember the last time the Colts had the number 1 pick. The decision then, however, was much different. Indianapolis was definitely drafting and keeping a QB, it was just a matter … Continue reading

Posted in decision making, Football, player evaluation, team evaluation | Tagged , , , | 4 Comments

Quick Slant: QBR versus Current Metrics

Neil Paine over at the PFR blog wrote basically what I was going to follow up with  (albeit much better than I would have). I just wanted to add in a couple other correlations with current metrics that I looked … Continue reading

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An Assessment of Total Quarterback Rating

Earlier today, ESPN released (some) details of their brand new rating system for quarterbacks dubbed Total Quarterback Rating, or Total QBR (or even further abbreviated, just QBR), aimed at replacing the popular yet flawed Passer Rating. So what is it? … Continue reading

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What do QBs control?

*UPDATE: Dan in the comments correctly points out that the numbers I listed are actually double what they should be. All the attempt numbers should be cut in half. Thanks, Dan.* On September 7, 2008, rookie Matt Ryan made his … Continue reading

Posted in Football, player evaluation, talent distribution | 10 Comments

The Championship Myth

Full disclosure: I’m a huge Colts fan. I love Peyton Manning. Conversely, I’m not particularly fond of the Patriots or Tom Brady. Because of this, I thought that this would be a good time to discuss what I call “The … Continue reading

Posted in Football, player evaluation, randomness | Tagged , , , , | 10 Comments