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Category Archives: predictive
A Hybrid Solution to Seeding the NCAA Tournament – update
Last year, I proposed a hybrid solution to seeding the NCAA Tournament, combining the aspiration to both reward strong resumes and maintain the integrity of the bracket–that is, actually giving higher seeds the better draw. That post was lacking in … Continue reading
A Hybrid Solution to Seeding the NCAA Tournament
I’m on record many times as being in favor of a purely objective selection criteria. However, when it comes to seeding, things are a bit trickier. While selection is a purely binary process–you’re either in or you’re out–all teams are … Continue reading
The Case for Objective Selection
Every year around this time, the 350+ Division I basketball teams wrap up their regular seasons and–save for the 32 conference champions who receive automatic bids–leave their fates in the hands of the aptly-named Selection Committee. Later today, this committee … Continue reading
Conference Tournament Predictions 2019 – All Tournaments
All conference tournament predictions are now in. You can follow along with this year’s contest by using this google spreadsheet link: predictions. TeamRankings currently holds a commanding lead and is trying to win their 3rd Conference Tournament Predictions Contest. Final … Continue reading
Conference Tournament Predictions 2019 – Early Tournaments
I’m once again tracking conference tournament predictions between my own system, KenPom, and TeamRankings. I discuss the scoring system in this post, but essentially for each team result that actually happens (e.g. Loyola wins the MVC, Indiana loses in the 2nd … Continue reading
Conference Tournaments 2018 – Final Results
Before I get to this year’s predictions, I realized I never posted last year’s final results, but my predictions did pull out the victory, narrowly holding off a strong TeamRankings run. KenPom finished 3rd. That gives two victories apiece for … Continue reading
Conference Tournament Predictions 2018 – Early Results
As I’ve done for most of the last few seasons (I missed 2014 for some reason), I’m tracking conference tournament predictions between Ken Pomeroy, Team Rankings, and myself. In the previous 4 years I’ve tracked, Team Rankings has 2 victories … Continue reading
Conference Tournaments 2017 – Final Results
Quick post today as the big tournament has started, but time to wrap up the Conference Tournament prediction contest. For the first time, Ken Pomeroy takes home the title. Team Rankings still leads with 2 overall titles and my own … Continue reading
Conference Tournament Predictions 2017 – Late Tournaments
Last week, I posted the predictions for the 13 early tournaments. Now the other 19 (that’s right, the Ivy League has joined the party) tournaments are set and most are underway, so I’ve updated the Google spreadsheet with all the … Continue reading
Conference Tournament Predictions 2017 – Early Tournaments and the Cinderella Index
Thirteen of the conference tournaments kick off early and are all under way. With the lone exception of the America East tournament, they will conclude early as well beginning with the Ohio Valley on Saturday and ending with the Patriot league title on … Continue reading