Category Archives: College Basketball

Grading the Selection Committee’s In-Season Preview

Today, the NCAA Selection Committee put out their first ever in-season preview, releasing the current top 16 if the season were to end today. Let’s see how they did. First, here is their s-curve alongside my own Achievement Rankings, ESPN’s … Continue reading

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March Madness Pet Peeves

I love almost everything about March Madness. Almost everything. So, despite this being the greatest week of the year–from Selection Sunday to filling out brackets to the wall-to-wall television viewing of the 48 tournament games on the weekend–I offer up a few … Continue reading

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Conference Tournament Predictions 2016 – Final Results

Today is Selection Sunday, representing the start of the NCAA Tournament, but it also marks the end of the conference tournament season. Earlier, I recapped how my projection system fared in 2015 with conference tournament predictions against Ken Pomeroy and Team Rankings predictions. … Continue reading

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Conference Tournament Predictions 2015 – Final Results

Three years ago, I compiled predictions for the conference tournaments from three sources–my own, Ken Pomeroy, and Team Rankings. When the dust settled, Team Rankings had narrowly edged out KenPom for the title as I lagged behind a distant third. … Continue reading

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The Silliness of Bracketology

We’re less than one month from Selection Sunday, which means the burgeoning field often called Bracketology is in full swing. Bracketology has taken on some broader meanings over the years, but it most often refers to predicting the selection and seeding of … Continue reading

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NCAA Tournament Predictions – 2013

With the tournament under way, I wanted to post my NCAA Tournament predictions. Things didn’t go so well for me with my Conference Tournament predictions, so hopefully the big dance will provide some sort of redemption. I really hate the … Continue reading

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Winners and Losers from Selection Sunday

Despite what many television analysts might say, seeding does have an enormous impact on a team’s chances to advance in the tournament. Every seed line you move up increases your chances of going further in the tournament. But the seeds … Continue reading

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The Achievement S-Curve – 2013 Final

Selection Sunday 2013 is in the books. Time to release the final Achievement S-Curve of 2013 and see how it compares to the actual bracket. The 2013 Achievement S-Curve (click twice to embiggen):

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Conference Tournament Predictions – Final Results

Last time, I laid out the method by which I would grade the conference tournament predictions. The tournaments are over so it’s time to present the results…and it’s not pretty for my predictions. TeamRankings: -317.53 KenPom: -317.87 Predict The Madness … Continue reading

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Conference Tournament Predictions – Update 3/14/2013

As I laid out in my introductory post, I am laying out my conference tournament predictions in order to compare them to other predictions out there. The two that I know of are Ken Pomery’s Log5 predictions and TeamRankings predictions. … Continue reading

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