The Southern Conference, once again, has been dominated by Davidson. The Wildcats haven’t been quite good enough to garner any at-large consideration, but the way they’ve run through the SoCon it shouldn’t matter. They have a 2 in 3 chance to head back to the NCAA Tournament. Should somebody stop them, it will have to be the College of Charleston, and they have a 20% chance to do so. Elon at 8% is the only other team with more than a prayer.
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Finally, we have a conference tournament with a little bit of intrigue in the MAAC. Iona, the 4-seed, is the favorite but has just a 27% chance to win the title. Five other teams have a better than 7% chance including the 7-seed, Fairfield, who has a 12% chance. I’m going to guess they are the most likely conference 7-seed to win their respective tournament.
The intrigue was short lived as we head to the Sun Belt. Middle Tennessee is again the class of the league. This year, they should have a very good shot at an at-large bid should they need it. There’s about a 40% chance of that happening, and most of that belongs to the 2-seed Arkansas State (18%).
Next Up: The Colonial, Summit, and America East begin their tournaments on Saturday.